Monaco’s residential property market may be very valuable but it is also very small. Transaction numbers topped only 547 in 2015 but, even then, this represented less than 4% of private housing stock numbers in Monaco. On average, since 2006, less than 3% of private stock has traded each year, meaning that the average Monégasque home changes hands only once every 37 years. This compared to prime London properties, for example, where the norm is nearer once every 20 years.
Against this low annual supply of resale properties, new builds in Monaco are a drop in the ocean. A mere 3.5% of transactions between 2010 and 2015 were newly built apartments. Only a handful of new apartments are earmarked for delivery in 2016 so the supply shortage will appear even more pronounced.
While delivery is anticipated to increase after 2017, we anticipate that it will still add no more than an average of 0.4% a year to stock and will be inadequate to subdue the market by saturating latent demand.