Care homes – more than just an ‘alternative’, says Savills

15 June 2017

According to the latest market update from Savills Healthcare, strong fundamentals combined with an ageing demographic in the UK has made healthcare, and in particular, care homes, a very attractive asset class. The international real estate advisor notes that the long indexed income with either RPI or fixed uplifts have made an appealing proposition for investors struggling to find similar opportunities in the mainstream markets. In addition, care home yields have moved in significantly over the last five years and now fall in line with many other traditional commercial asset classes. Savills Prime Care Home Yield Index currently stands at 4.25%, down from 4.75% in 2016.

These fundamentals are supported by strong demand for good quality care homes, fuelled by an increasing 75+ years population and an imbalance between the number of care homes opened and those closed since 2011. Savills Healthcare team has recorded that 9,000 bed were lost in 2016 compared to only 6,000 new beds being built.

Chris Wishart, director in Savills healthcare team comments: “Over the last 18 months we have seen care homes achieve unprecedented yields with those let to annuity grade tenants and in excess of 30 years unexpired attracting interest of levels below 4%. We expect this trend to continue with the care home market being put under further pressure in the next three to five years due to an increase in the population and a limited amount of new homes coming out of the ground, which will ultimately drive prices higher and sharpen yields.

“As a result, we have seen care homes emerge into the investment arena with interest coming from a variety of buyers including REIT’s, institutions, pension funds and insurance companies seeking to diversify their portfolios. In addition, we expect the increase in activity from overseas investors, already witnessed in the mainstream markets, to become a reality in the healthcare sector with buyers from the US, Central Europe and Asia re-entering the market buoyed by the weakened Sterling.”

Savills cites the recent sale and leaseback of Gold Care Homes by US REIT, Omega Healthcare, as a prime example of overseas interest into the UK.

In terms of overall investment volumes the firm notes that, while care home investment was down in 2016 at between £750 million and £800 million compared to previous years, this was, in part, due to general market uncertainty in the real estate sector combined with a paucity of opportunities rather than reduced investor appetite. Savills reports that investment volumes for the first half of 2017 have shown a significant yoy increase with levels expected to increase by 25%. This augmented figure is particularly relevant given that the average lot size for a single care home investment ranging from £10 million and £12 million.

Alex Crawley, associate director in Savills healthcare team, says: “The relatively low average investment lot size for care homes compared against the expected half year transaction figure underlines the increased activity in the sector.

“The biggest opportunity for opportunistic investors entering the care home market moving forward will be to create a secure income stream. It is therefore vital that buyers consider the rent payable through the term of the lease for each asset against any potential fluctuations in the profit of a home.”

 
 

General Enquiries

Savills Margaret Street

 

Key Contacts

Craig Woollam

Craig Woollam

Head of Healthcare

Savills Margaret Street

+44 (0) 20 7409 9966

 

Chris Wishart

Chris Wishart

Director
Healthcare

Savills Cambridge

+44 (0) 207 409 9964